Investment Bank Outlook for Jackson Hole Conference Shows Significant Rate Cut Expectation Differentiation

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/08/19 09:02:03
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, August 19, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on the economic outlook and the Fed's policy framework assessment at the Kansas City Fed's annual central bank symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on August 22 at 10 am Eastern Time (10 pm Beijing Time). Major investment banks have the following expectations for Powell's speech:

UBS: It is expected that Powell may pave the way for a rate cut starting in September and continuing through the end of the year.

UBS: Given last week's data, Powell may be willing to hint at the Fed's inclination to cut rates in September at the meeting.

Russell Investments: The Jackson Hole meeting may dampen expectations for a Fed rate cut, with a September rate cut being "possible" rather than "certain," with a rate cut of 25 basis points rather than 50 basis points.

ING: Recently, three Fed officials (Daly, Cook, and Kashkari) expressed concern about the deterioration of the labor market, which appears to be a precursor to an official shift to a more dovish stance at the Jackson Hole central bank annual symposium.

MUFG: The risk of the Jackson Hole meeting is that Powell may not provide a clear signal on the timing of the next rate cut, allowing the Fed to continue evaluating the upcoming data before the September FOMC meeting. This may help suppress short-term downward pressure on the US dollar.

Bank of America: We remain skeptical of a Fed rate cut this year. Powell stated in July that as long as the unemployment rate remains in a narrow range, he will be satisfied with low job growth. It now appears that this scenario is becoming a reality, and Powell's speech in Jackson Hole will give him an opportunity to "walk the talk." (FXStreet)

-- Price

--

You may also like

BIS Report Compliance Observation: The Real Risks of Stablecoins, Not Just "Depegging"

The issue with stablecoins is not just whether their price will decouple, but whether they can be integrated into a recognizable, monitorable, accountable, and regulated financial system.

When American giants collectively "defect" from Chinese AI models

Coinbase CEO publicly stated: the company has fully switched its AI to a Chinese model, cutting expenses in half while usage has doubled. Snowflake and Lindy are also doing the same thing—an unnoticed "AI model migration wave" is happening.

A pre-announced harvesting case: After the cryptocurrency price dropped by 99%, the public chain Saga exited to transform into AI

True failure often isn't a single price drop, but rather a pricing mechanism that repeatedly rewards those who tell stories while repeatedly punishing those who believe in the stories.

Ethereum Foundation Report: A Basic Guide to Ethereum for Governments and Financial Institutions

The Ethereum Foundation has released this non-technical introductory report aimed at government officials, central banks, regulators, and corporate decision-makers, explaining how Ethereum works, how it is governed, how it differs from other blockchains, and how institutions and governments are alre...

Portugal 2-1 Croatia: Ronaldo's 20-Year Knockout-Stage Drought Ends With a Debt Finally Collected

Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in the 2026 global football championship's knockout rounds as Ronaldo scored his first-ever knockout-stage goal, Gonçalo Ramos struck a stoppage-time winner, and VAR ruled out a late equalizer for offside.

Bitcoin Price Prediction July 2026: Will BTC Recover to $70K or Drop Below $55K?

Bitcoin price prediction for July 2026: Can BTC recover to $70,000 or fall below $55,000? Explore ETF flows, key support levels, Fed outlook, and our Bitcoin forecast.

Contents

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com